He blinked?

April 1st, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we're monitoring today: Top News Is the war over yet? The S&P saw a 3% relief rally yesterday on reports Iran was open to negotiating and Trump was considering winding down the operation. Four polymarkets we are watching today for what comes next: Read more → ​ Quick Links Trump announces end of military ops by April 30 (54%) → U.S. invades Iran this year (48%) → Hormuz traffic normalizes by end of May (42%) → Trump says "Kharg Island" in his speech tonight (28%) → Alberta, Alberta Organizers of Alberta's separatist movement say they have enough signatures to trigger the next legal step in the referendum process. Read more → ​ Quick Links Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? → Does MVP chatter matter? The NBA MVP race was drifting towards Victor Wembanyama (and away from favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander), to the point SGA had to address it. "I let my game do the talking," he said Monday. Probably smart: SGA still has an 80%+ chance to win. Read more → ​ Wallet Watch Skin in the game "N0stradumba55" is the top YES holder in the Alberta referendum polymarket. He's already up 34% on his position, and is a vocal proponent of independence on X. View Wallet → ​ Breaking News Odds Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? View market → 28% -11% Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX's initial public offering? View market → 35% +6% Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? View market → 53% -6% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3? 1d Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? 3d How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5) 3d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes) 14h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Netanyahu out by...? $16.12M Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 $8.56M Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? $2.75M Next Prime Minister of Hungary $1.44M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 109d Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 6d 76ers vs. Wizards 12h Augusta National Invitational - Winner 11d See all Top Sports → ​ ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480 New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.