The Wartime Loophole That Supercharged an Industry
In late 1942, the U.S. government put employers in an impossible bind... That year, factories across America ran around the clock. They churned out planes, tanks, ships, ammunition, and countless other wartime supplies.
The Wartime Loophole That Supercharged an Industry
By Marc Chaikin, founder, Chaikin Analytics
In late 1942, the U.S. government put employers in an impossible bind...
That year, factories across America ran around the clock. They churned out planes, tanks, ships, ammunition, and countless other wartime supplies.
The U.S. had entered World War II less than a year earlier. Now, the war effort was in full swing. And American factories needed all the workers they could get.
But there was a problem...
The government had made it illegal to pay them more.
President Franklin D. Roosevelt signed the Stabilization Act of 1942 into law that October. It froze wages across the country.
It made sense at the time...
America was pouring everything it could into the war effort. Competition for workers could push wages up dramatically. And a surge in inflation was the last thing the economy needed.
But with a stroke of the pen, President Roosevelt created a major problem for America's employers...
They were already struggling to find enough workers. Millions of men had left factories, farms, and offices to join the military.
That left a tiny pool of potential employees. And these folks were in high demand.
Normally, high demand pushes prices up. Workers should have earned much better wages due to the supply-demand equation.
But the Stabilization Act handcuffed American employers. So they had to find another way to attract workers – and keep the ones they already had.
They found it in the fine print of the new law. There, employers discovered a strange little clause...
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Yesterday's 'New Norm' Flashes Opportunity Today
The wage freeze applied to salaries. But the executive order that put it into effect explicitly excluded "insurance and pension benefits in a reasonable amount."
The government bureaucrats who wrote that sentence probably couldn't have imagined what this would eventually bring about...
But in 1943, the National War Labor Board made it clear that employer-paid insurance did not count as wages.
The IRS agreed. That same year, it ruled that employees didn't have to pay tax on the value of that insurance.
As one economic historian put it decades later...
I don't think it was intended as a loophole... I don't think they realized what they were about to set in motion.
In short, the loophole marked a huge shift in America's employment system.
A wartime effort to stop inflation is the reason so many modern Americans get their health coverage from their employer.
Companies that couldn't legally raise wages started competing another way.
With this shift, Americans found more room in their budgets – and not because they were earning bigger paychecks. Instead, their employers were now covering their insurance costs.
And the money they didn't have to spend on insurance often got pumped right back into the economy.
Across the country, the employer payout structure changed. Health insurance spread rapidly.
Today, roughly 6 in 10 working-age Americans receive health coverage through their employer. What might have just been a one-off, wartime-only scenario became the foundation of the modern American benefits system.
Of course, most people have never heard of the Stabilization Act of 1942 – or the historic "quirk" that changed everything.
For many folks in the workforce today, insurance is a basic feature that comes with a good job.
Outside of the workforce, people insure everything from their cars and homes to even their smartphones.
And the insurance industry is strong because of it...
The Power Gauge gives ratings to 115 companies in the insurance industry, and about a quarter of them are "bullish" or better.
Folks, that means there are plenty of opportunities to grow your wealth in insurance industry stocks.
Put simply, each of these "bullish" stocks deserves a deeper look today.
Good investing,
Marc Chaikin
Market View
Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish
Dow 30
-0.67%
8
16
6
S&P 500
-0.74%
81
243
173
NASDAQ
-1.07%
24
46
29
Small Caps
-0.69%
354
1100
441
Bonds
-0.88%
Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology and Life Sciences
+1.21%
16
35
9
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Large Cap stocks are more Bearish than Small Cap stocks. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Health Care
+1.33%
Staples
+0.44%
Information Technology
-0.16%
Materials
-0.48%
Energy
-0.58%
Industrials
-0.71%
Discretionary
-2.88%
Real Estate
-2.91%
Financial
-3.06%
Communication
-3.11%
Utilities
-3.47%
* * * *
Industry Focus
Health Care Equipment
4
44
18
Over the past 6 months, the Health Care Equipment subsector (XHE) has underperformed the S&P 500 by 1.11%. Its Power Bar ratio which measures future potential is Very Weak, with more Bearish than Bullish stocks. It is currently ranked #16 of 21 subsectors and has moved up 2 slots over the past week.
Indicative Stocks
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
AVR
Anteris Technologies Global Corp.
AXGN
Axogen, Inc.
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
PANW
+4.63%
PSKY
+3.21%
CRWD
+2.82%
VTRS
+2.47%
ISRG
+2.37%
Losers
DASH
-7.74%
QCOM
-7.17%
CVNA
-7.06%
BA
-6.91%
INTC
-5.67%
* * * *
Earnings report
Earnings Surprises
JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc.
Q3
$1.08
Beat by $0.08
* * * *
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